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Conditions > Osteoarthritis > Osteoarthritis News and Research > Knee Osteoarthritis Study: Interview with the Authors
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Knee Osteoarthritis Study: Interview with the Authors

Behind the numbers – knee study finds that 1 in 2 are at risk for osteoarthritis. Study authors talk about lifetime risks and how to interpret their research

9/15/08 A study released by a team of investigators from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta and the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill published in Arthritis Care & Research shows that the risk of knee osteoarthritis is far greater than experts had known. Arthritis Today interviewed knee study authors Louise Murphy, Ph.D., an epidemiologist at the CDC’s Arthritis Program, and Cpt. Chad Helmick, M.D., a medical epidemiologist in the commissioned corps of the Public Health Service.

AT Tell us a little bit about the significance of this knee study

Dr. Helmick:  We’ve had prevalence estimates before, but this study is very different.  I don’t think we’ve had any lifetime risk estimates before in the field of rheumatology.  As far as I know, these are the first ones looking at knee osteoarthritis.

AT:  Can you explain what having a 1 in 2 risk of knee osteoarthritis means?

Dr. Helmick:  It’s a number that’s a way of communicating the risk of developing osteoarthritis of the knee over the course of your lifetime. The risk rises with age, so the older you get, the more likely it is that you will have osteoarthritis in at least one knee. We’re working on getting the risk numbers for more specific age groups, from age 40-49, for example, and from age 50 to 59 and so on.  
This number is also an important tool for public policy makers. The breast cancer number [1 in 8] everyone knows. This is even higher than it is for breast cancer.  Hopefully the government will put more resources into arthritis when people realize its true impact.

AT: Your definition of osteoarthritis included people with mild osteoarthritis scores on radiographs [a kind of X-ray]. Other researchers have concentrated counting cases that score in the moderate to severe range on radiographs.  Do you think including mild cases in this knee study could have exaggerated the risk?

Dr. Helmick:  We concentrated on symptomatic knee osteoarthritis in our study.  There’s a large movement in the field of rheumatology away from using radiographic measures of disease, because how a knee looks on a radiograph doesn’t seem to correlate to the kinds of symptoms people have. Some people have radiographs that show a lot of damage, but have almost no symptoms, while other people have almost no damage but are in excruciating pain.

AT Critics have questioned whether results from the knee study of residents in rural farming communities can really be generalized to the rest of the country.  Some studies have found, for example, that farmers are at higher risk for getting osteoarthritis of the hip, though researchers aren’t sure if that’s because of their occupation, which requires heavy physical labor.  Do you think that results from Johnston County can be applied to people in the rest of the country?

Dr. Helmick:  That’s a good question. There are always going to be questions, when you’re studying one population, about how it can be applied around the rest of the country.

AT: What other attributes of this population may influence whether or not the results can be applied broadly?

Dr. Helmick: Participants in this study were a little bit less educated, a little bit lower income, and they’re in an area that’s transitioning from rural to suburban.  But we had a significant number of African-Americans in our study, which is one of its great strengths. If you look at Framingham [another population-based study in Framingham, Mass.], that’s pretty much an all-white community. In Johnston County, we’ve at least covered that.

AT This study suggests that people should watch their weight and try to prevent injuries if they want to lower their risk of getting arthritis in their knees.  Do you agree with that?

Dr. Helmick: We study authors are a little bit nervous about pushing prevention too much. Based on these results it would seem like keeping your weight down and preventing injuries would prevent arthritis, but so many times in science, when you go and test these logical assumptions, they just aren’t true. What we can say is that preventing injuries and maintaining a healthy weight is certainly prudent and won’t cause any harm. We’re just not sure what prevents arthritis yet, so we can’t say for sure that these measures help.

Dr. Murphy:  We certainly endorse participation in regular physical activity, which seems to prevent and improve the symptoms of arthritis.

AT: What effects might this knee study have?

Dr. Murphy:  I hope our study will raise awareness that this is a big problem, and it’s a problem across all age groups. It’s not just a big problem when you get to be age 85.

Take an in-depth look at how the knee study was conducted

cindy
15 Nov 2011, 13:07
i think your readers do not understand what this study has studied. they simply assess the probability of a person getting OA in your lifetime, which is the authors claim that is far greater than previously thought. it has nothing to do with which treatment is more effective. also, note that they study the effects of state and local prevention program and distribute funding.
lucy aliberti
03 Apr 2011, 04:01
I'M 59 YEARS OLD I HAD A FULL KNEE REPLACEMENT IN 2007 AND STILL CAN'T DO STAIRS WITH THAT KNEE AS ANYBODY HAD THIS EXPERIENCE? MY OTHER KNEE IS BAD TO RIGHT NOW I'M WITH THE SHOTS,
I'M AFRAID IF I HAVE ANOTHER KNEE SURGERY AND THE SAME THING HAPPENS I WONT BE ABLE TO DO STAIRS AT ALL.... I HAD ENOUGH PHYSICAL THERAPY
LET ME KNOW WHAT CAUSED THIS?
ROBERT PLANTE
19 Oct 2010, 17:22
I HAVE O.A.IN MY KNEE'S BAD WILL THEY HAVE A STUDY ON O.A. IN THE FUTURE AT MY HOSPITAL DARTMOUTH HITCHCOCK IN LEBANON,N.H. LET ME KNOW I WOULD LOVE TO BE PART OF THE STUDY HERE IS MY HOME PHONE NUMBER= 1-603-448-5352
HOPE WE HAVE ONE FOR O.A. IN THE FUTURE.
Candy
13 Jul 2010, 17:16
Looking for an OA knee study.Have OA in both knees, have had orthroscopic surgery, synovisc and the off brand treatment as well.62 and trying to avoid replacement
Dan
20 May 2010, 19:27
I am a 40 yr. old male who has been dealing with arthritis for approximately 6 months. I had arthroscopic surgery 4 days ago which confirmed the arthritis. I have always been active and though mildly overweight (wt. 195 lbs., ht. 5'11'') am in much better shape than many in my age group and surrounding area(Southeastern US).

I wish to find treatment options for knee pain I am experiencing.
roger
19 May 2010, 13:36
hello
i have Knee osteoarthritis im 47 yrs old can know longer do my past job . and sitting for long periods of time stiffen and causes pain i cant sit for long periods of time. is this normal and will it get worse.
Patricia Smith
27 Jun 2009, 20:49
can I participate in one of your knee studies in chicago, Illinois?

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